by Michael Carr | Sep 24, 2021 | market decline, News, rules, rules-based, Sell Off, Trading Strategies, trading strategy, True Options Masters
Monday’s sell-off reminded me of early 2010. The S&P 500 had suffered its first significant pullback since the March 2009 bottom. I had just started managing money and was surprised by the reaction of our clients. That dip created a sense of panic. People didn’t...
by Michael Carr | Sep 21, 2021 | bullish, COVID, Inflation, News, Real Estate, Sell Off, tapering, Trading Strategies, True Options Masters
Stocks sold off on Monday. The S&P 500 fell as much as 2.6% before rebounding into the close. And so the mainstream media pundits needed to fill the air with reasons why. CNBC came up with five: Investors fear a contagion sweeping financial markets from the...
by Michael Carr | Sep 17, 2021 | bearish, Bonds, bullish, SPY, Stocks, TLT, Trading Strategies, True Options Masters
You already know that I expect a once-in-a-generation bull market over the next few years. And maybe you recall my other recent prediction, that bond prices will plummet. A loyal True Options Masters reader wrote in with what they saw as a conflict between two of my...
by Michael Carr | Sep 14, 2021 | bubble, call option, put option, Straddle, Trading Strategies, True Options Masters, uranium
We have a new bubble on our hands. Over the weekend, Barron’s highlighted a new bubble taking place in commodities. In an asset where bubbles are common. Barron’s explained: “Uranium futures have climbed 40% to $42.50 in just under a month, according to FactSet data....
by Michael Carr | Sep 9, 2021 | bullish, S&P 500, Trading Strategies, True Options Masters
Everyone has a bullish or bearish disposition. I won’t call it a bias, because lots of traders like to claim they have no bias. Disposition goes beyond bias. I think our disposition is formed by our life experiences and the resulting attitudes toward risk. It is how...
by Michael Carr | Sep 3, 2021 | Edge, Options, Put Options, Selling Options, Trading Strategies, True Options Masters
Warren Buffett wrote in 1987: “[I]f you aren’t certain that you understand and can value your business far better than Mr. Market, you don’t belong in the game. “As they say in poker, ‘If you’ve been in the game 30 minutes and you don’t know who the patsy is,...